CHISportsNation

 

The NFL released the schedules for the 2016 season on Thursday. At first glance, I was quite optimistic. So I did some math and gathered some statistics to create this comprehensive breakdown of the Bears schedule.

Chicago Bears 2016 Schedule

(All times are in Central Time)

  • 2015 Chicago Bears stats (For comparison):
    • 4th in NFC North, 6-10-0 (.375), Home: 1-7-0, Away: 5-3-0
      • Points Forced: 335 (23rd), Points Allowed: 397 (20th), Point Differential: -62 (21st), Turnover Differential: -4 (T-19th)

 

  • Sunday, September 11th, 12:00 PM: Bears @ Texans
    • 2015 Houston Texans stats: 1st in AFC South, 9-7-0 (.563), Home: 5-3-0, Away: 4-4-0
      • Points Forced: 339 (21st out of 32 NFL teams), Points Allowed: 313 (7th), Point Differential: +26 (12th), Turnover Differential: +5 (T-10th)
  • Monday, September 19th, 7:30 PM: Eagles @ Bears
    • 2015 Philadelphia Eagles stats: 2nd in NFC East, 7-9-0 (.438), Home: 3-5-0, Away: 4-4-0
      • Points Forced: 377 (13th), Points Allowed: 430 (28th), Point Differential: -53 (20th), Turnover Differential: -5 (T-22nd)
  • Sunday, September 25th, 7:30 PM: Bears @ Cowboys
    • 2015 Dallas Cowboys stats: 4th in NFC East, 4-12-0 (.250), Home: 1-7-0, Away: 3-5-0
      • Points Forced: 275 (31st), Points Allowed: 374 (16th), Point Differential: -99 (29th), Turnover Differential: -22 (32nd)
  • Sunday, October 2nd, 12:00 PM: Lions @ Bears
    • 2015 Detroit Lions stats: 3rd in NFC North, 7-9-0 (.438), Home: 4-4-0, Away: 3-5-0
      • Points Forced: 358 (18th), Points Allowed: 400 (23rd), Point Differential: -42 (18th), Turnover Differential: -5 (T-22nd)
  • Sunday, October 9th, 12:00 PM: Bears @ Colts
    • 2015 Indianapolis Colts stats: 2nd in AFC South, 8-8-0 (.500), Home: 4-4-0, Away: 4-4-0
      • Points Forced: 333 (24th), Points Allowed: 408 (25th), Point Differential: -75 (25th), Turnover Differential: -5 (T-22nd)
  • Sunday, October 16th, 12:00 PM: Jaguars @ Bears
    • 2015 Jacksonville Jaguars stats: 3rd in AFC South, 5-11-0 (.313), Home: 4-4-0, Away: 1-7-0
      • Points Forced: 376 (14th), Points Allowed: 448 (31st),  Point Differential: -72 (23rd), Turnover Differential: -10 (29th)
  • Thursday, October 20th, 7:25 PM: Bears @ Packers
    • 2015 Green Bay Packers stats: 2nd in NFC North, 10-6-0 (.625), Home: 5-3-0, Away: 5-3-0
      • Points Forced: 368 (15th), Points Allowed: 323 (12th), Point Differential: +45 (11th), Turnover Differential: +5 (T-10th)
  • Monday, October 31st, 7:30 PM: Vikings @ Bears
    • 2015 Minnesota Vikings stats: 1st in NFC North, 11-5-0 (.688), Home: 6-2-0, Away: 5-3-0
      • Points Forced: 365 (16th), Points Allowed: 302 (5th), Point Differential: +63 (9th), Turnover Differential: +5 (T-10th)
  • Bye Week (Week 9)
  • Sunday, November 13th, 12:00 PM: Bears @ Buccaneers
    • 2015 Tampa Bay Buccaneers stats: 4th in NFC South, 6-10-0 (.375), Home: 3-5-0, Away: 3-5-0
      • Points Forced: 342 (20th), Points Allowed: 417 (26th), Point Differential: -75 (25th), Turnover Differential: -5 (T-22nd)
  • Sunday, November 20th, 12:00 PM: Bears @ Giants
    • 2015 New York Giants stats: 3rd in NFC East, 6-10-0 (.375), Home: 3-5-0, Away: 3-5-0
      • Points Forced: 420 (6th), Points Allowed: 442 (30th), Point Differential: -22 (16th), Turnover Differential: +7 (T-5th)
  • Sunday, November 27th, 12:00 PM: Titans @ Bears
    • 2015 Tennessee Titans stats: 4th in AFC South, 3-13-0 (.188), Home: 1-7-0, Away: 2-6-0
      • Points Forced: 299 (28th), Points Allowed: 423 (27th), Point Differential: -124 (30th), Turnover Differential: -14 (T-30th)
  • Sunday, December 4th, 12:00 PM: 49ers @ Bears
    • 2015 San Francisco 49ers stats: 4th in NFC West, 5-11-0 (.313), Home: 4-4-0, Away: 1-7-0
      • Points Forced: 238 (32nd), Points Allowed: 387 (18th), Point Differential: -149 (31st), Turnover Differential: -5 (T-22nd)
  • Sunday, December 11th, 12:00 PM: Bears @ Lions
    • (See week 4 stats)
  • Sunday, December 18th, 12:00 PM: Packers @ Bears
    • (See week 7 stats)
  • Saturday, December 24th, 12:00 PM: Redskins @ Bears
    • 2015 Washington Redskins stats: 1st in NFC East, 9-7-0 (.563), Home: 6-2-0, Away: 3-5-0
      • Points Forced: 388 (10th), Points Allowed: 379 (17th), Point Differential: +9 (14th), Turnover Differential: +5 (T-10th)
  • Sunday, January 1st, 12:00 PM: Bears @ Vikings
    • (See week 8 stats)

 

Total Opponent Averages

  • Win Percentage: .461
  • Points Forced: 348
  • Points Allowed: 379
  • Point Differential: -31
  • Turnover Differential: -2.4

 

Now, I know that the statistics from last year won’t necessarily reflect how the teams perform this year. The stats are just here to give you an idea of the strength of the Bears schedule.

That being said, their schedule is fairly weak this year. In fact, it’s among the weakest schedules for 2016 (statistically). They play only four teams that had records better than .500 last year: Houston, Green Bay, Minnesota, and Washington. Unfortunately, Green Bay and Minnesota are in Chicago’s division, so they appear twice on the schedule. Still, though, the Bears schedule ranks 30th according to opponents’ average win percentage. For comparison, here are a few examples of stronger schedules:

San Francisco 49ers Opponent Averages

  • Win Percentage: .555
  • Points Forced: 383
  • Points Allowed: 346
  • Point Differential: +37
  • Turnover Differential: +2.5

Denver Broncos Opponent Averages

  • Win Percentage: .504
  • Points Forced: 374
  • Points Allowed: 369
  • Point Differential: +5
  • Turnover Differential: +1.6

 

So, at first glance, the schedule looks great, right? I have heard nothing but optimistic comments about it. But do the numbers back that up? The answer is yes. Statistically, Green Bay is the only team with an easier schedule than Chicago. The differences in the Bears’ opponent averages and the given examples’ opponent averages are substantial. That’s enough to get me talking about the Super Bowl! Like I said before, though, the numbers are just numbers. By the end of the season, the Bears may have had the toughest schedule in the NFL. That’s why we love football. There’s always a chance the statistics could be wrong.

 

 

  • Bears Season Recap

    As Bears fans, we are all painfully aware of the unimpressive season our team put together…
  • Could Jordan Howard be Rookie of the Year?

    The general consensus around the NFL is that Dallas’ Ezekiel Elliot has the best cas…
  • 2016 Chicago Bears Draft Prospects

    With the 2016 NFL Draft less than 2 months away and the Combine complete, analysts are cre…
Comments are closed.

Check Also

Player to Watch: Lucas Patrick

If there’s one thing that makes Lucas Patrick stand out, it’s his giant dolphin dome VICIS…